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Pakistan

The repetition of history and the hidden sciences!

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History repeats itself is common concept, but in Pakistan the example of such notion is hardly found in any other country in the world.

Imran Yaqub Khan Profile Imran Yaqub Khan

In November 2017, Tehreek-e-Libek staged a sit-in in Faizabad. The background of this sit-in was known to all. The PML-N government, which was already under pressure, was under siege. When the party was mobilized against the PML-N government, today's ruling party, the PTI, supported their sit-in. In his judgment, Justice Qazi Faiz Issa also mentioned the local leadership of Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf (PTI) besides Sheikh Rashid and Ejaz-ul-Haq, who continued to support the sit-in, according to intelligence reports.

A conference was held in Golra Sharif in the name of Khatam-e-Nubuwat (SAW) in which Imran Khan participated and tried his best to win the sympathy of Tehreek-e-Libek. Today, it is the responsibility of Interior Minister Sheikh Rashid Ahmed to stop the protest march and possible sit-in. The minister got mentioned Mujahid Khatam-e-Nubawat on posters and used religion for his political campaign.

After this protest against the PML-N government and its support from the PTI, the 'revolutionary anchors' also disguised them as Mujahideen Khatam-e-Nabuwat and walled off the PML-N and its leadership. As a result of this movement, resignations were announced from some members of the PML-N in the National Assembly and an electoral atmosphere was created against the PML-N. Now the Tehreek-e-Libek is once again on strike and the next scenario seems to be peeking out of the pages of the past.

The atmosphere against the PML-N began after the report of a high-level meeting was published in an English newspaper and it was named Dwan Leaks. Now the atmosphere is being created again and the impression of "One Page" has been shattered by the ruling circles. An appointment to a key post was announced on October 6 and the tug-of-war began. The 20-day tug-of-war played a central role in dispelling the one-page impression.

Now the matter seems to have been resolved and the long awaited notification has come to light but the impression of tension remains as no attempt is being made to remove it but a conscious effort is being made by the government to prevail the tension.

Prior to the notification, there was talk of secret science and statistics. Even after the notification came, the machinations of the occult sciences are still rampant and this notification is being viewed in conjunction with the dates of next month's partial lunar eclipse. I have no interest in cognition or numerology, but apart from such factors, it seems that matters are now heading towards confrontation and such confrontations don't last long, only a few weeks are decisive.

When it comes to linking this analysis to another mysterious process, the date of December 4 seems to be important when there will be a total solar eclipse in the world. Eclipses have been associated with solar and lunar eclipses for centuries. A large number of people believe in such superstitions and are convinced to the extent that eclipses bring about great changes. The then government in Pakistan was overthrown within two months after the 1999 eclipse.

Whether the eclipse will do anything or not, but if the situation continues like this, then of course the blame will fall on the December 4 eclipse. Assuming that the December 4 eclipse could be disastrous for the government, the next elections could be in April or May. There will be partial eclipses in these months as well. The partial eclipse of April 30, 2022 will not be visible in or around Pakistan and will be visible in the western, southwestern United States, Pacific, Atlantic and Antarctic regions.

The 2022 partial lunar eclipse will be seen in most parts of the world including Europe, Asia, Africa and this partial lunar eclipse will probably be seen in Pakistan as well. If those who believe in the mysterious sciences are to be believed, then according to this calculation, if the total solar eclipse of December 4 played any role in the overthrow of the government, then April and May will be election months and partial eclipses will also show color in these elections. ۔

Political figures seeking the help of occultists should now worry about December. Thoughts will be of two kinds. Those who believe in the mysterious sciences in the government will hire experts to save the government and the opposition will turn to the 'babus' to drown the government in the crisis. If December is decisive, then the worries of April and May will bother everyone and a new round of operations will be launched to remove the possible misfortunes in their horoscopes and this time, since everyone is worried about power, they will get rid of the misfortunes. Will become the need of all.

Those who believe in the mysterious sciences think that the eclipse is a plague that comes from the sky to destroy human beings and they have no means to stop it but the moon and the sun have blocked its path and sacrificed their lives. Weak believers believe that because it is powerful and has taken the sun and the moon in its mouth, it is necessary to help them.

In the old days, the hill tribes, to whom the light of knowledge had not reached, used to gather in a field at the time of eclipse, dance to the beat of drums, make loud drunken utensils, play tin, etc., in order to somehow get rid of this evil. Some of them used to throw stones so that if they didn't retreat from the noise, they would move away from the fear of these stones. Such scenes are seldom seen now, but the claimants of expertise in the hidden sciences go astray, perform strange acts that frighten the common man, and play with their weakness.

Since I don't believe in these hidden and mysterious sciences, I am only worried about how long our politicians will continue to blackmail or to be blackmailed for the sake of power. How long will history be repeated? Why is democracy in danger after every 10 years?

The ruling party is trying to use the recent controversy to its advantage by hiding behind the slogans of "stand firm, captain". but linking an attempt to keep a person close because of personal friendship to the battle of principles is nothing but mutual deceiving. The same party used to humiliate everyone else by giving the impression of being the enemy of a strong institution of the country.

Until the conflict of interests, the good relations with the institution were displayed like a medal on the chest. Isn't it senselessness and selfishness to confont the same institution for ulterior motives now?

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Pakistan

PIA suspends flights to Dubai, Sharjah amid return of heavy rains

Dubai airport, the world’s busiest in terms of int'l passenger traffic, cancelled 13 flights and diverted five

Published by Faisal Ali Ghumman

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Lahore: Pakistan International Airlines (PIA) Thursday announced that flight operations to Dubai and Sharjah would remain suspended owing to the return of severe weather conditions that lashed the United Arab Emirates (UAE) last month.

According to PIA spokesperson, flight operations for Dubai and Sharjah were severely affected due to the rains and that flights of the national carrier and other airlines would “remain suspended for the time being”. He said that some PIA flights were facing delays and cancellations due to the bad weather.

“PIA is very conscious of its troubling its passengers. PIA will renew its air operations immediately as soon as the situation improves.”

Meanwhile, UAE state carrier Emirates and sister airline flydubai both warned passengers of delays, as schools switched to remote learning and public-sector offices closed.

Schools and many offices were closed across the UAE as heavy rains returned just two weeks after record downpours that experts linked to climate change.

A lightning storm with high winds swept across the oil-rich monarchy overnight, with more than 50 millimetres of rain falling before 8am in some areas, the National Centre of Meteorology said. Flooding was seen in some parts of Dubai and the city’s airport.

The airport, the world’s busiest in terms of international passenger traffic, cancelled 13 flights and diverted five, a spokesperson said.

But the rains were not on the scale of April 16, when a record 259.5 mm of rain left four people dead, blocked major roads for days and forced the cancellation of more than 2,000 flights.

Little traffic was seen on Dubai’s normally heaving, six-lane highways today and cars were abandoned on flooded roads near the sprawling Ibn Battuta Mall.

Trucks pumping water were stationed in several flooded areas, as Dubai’s drainage is unable to cope with large-scale rainfall.

Last month’s downpour, which also killed 21 people in neighbouring Oman, was the heaviest in the UAE since records began in 1949.

Additional input from AFP

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Sports

Yordan Alvarez and other need-to-have slow starters

Tristan H. Cockcroft takes a look at the final April stats and passes judgment on which slow-starting fantasy players need to be traded for.

Published by Web Desk

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Anyone who has played this grand game that we call fantasy baseball for any length of time has heard the dreaded phrase, "small sample size."

The catch for us is that, while fantasy analysts constantly rail against reading too much into small samples and fantasy managers resist the temptation to trust them, our game, simply put, demands that we put stock into small samples. We make adds and drops based off one week's worth, one series' worth or sometimes even one day's worth of results. We set lineups based upon what happened last scoring period -- or even just yesterday.

Additionally, we set out to make trades with only one month's worth of data in the books if only because, if we didn't, we'd be taking the chance that our teams' weaknesses might put us further into an inescapable hole.

This truth creates tremendous opportunity on the trade market, because often, there's a clear difference between early stats that matter and those that don't. Slow starters, at this specific time of year, grate on us in a way that they wouldn't at any other place on the calendar. A .173 batting average looks a lot worse today, when it represents the hitter's full-season number, than it might if accrued over the month of August, when it might only mean a loss of 15 points off his overall season number.

Some of these complaints are valid; others should be casually shrugged off. However, those who can tell the difference are in an advantageous position. Yes, it is prime time to aggressively seek out trades, especially for players off to a slow start who might have most aggravated their impatient managers. Today, let's identify some of these seemingly underperforming players you should be trading for right now!

(All statistics are entering play on Tuesday.)

Yordan Alvarez, OF, Houston Astros: He's actually off to a decent start, on pace for a .275-41-104 season. Digging deeper, he's potentially capable of much more. Alvarez's contact quality remains as elite as they come and, among batting title-eligibles, he has the seventh-widest wOBA/Statcast expected wOBA differential in the wrong direction (75 points). That's probably a byproduct of Houston's tougher-than-you-realize April schedule, which included seven games against the defending champion Texas Rangers, four against the New York Yankees and three apiece against the Atlanta Braves and Toronto Blue Jays.

The Astros have all 13 games against the Oakland Athletics, all six against the Chicago White Sox, three against the Miami Marlins and two against the Colorado Rockies in Houston remaining. In other words, go get Alvarez now if you can, especially if the ask in return is anything below top-10 overall talent. Now's your best shot, with his team also struggling mightily.

Luis Castillo, SP, Seattle Mariners: He's riding an active streak of three consecutive quality starts, steering his sluggish season back onto the tracks, but this pick as much about Castillo's value relative to the injury-ravaged starting position as it is a slow-starter trade opportunity. Gerrit Cole, Max Scherzer and Sandy Alcantara (who rank second, sixth and seventh in fantasy points since the beginning of 2021) are all on the IL. Castillo ranks 11th, and he was fifth in scoring in 2023 alone.

Thus far, Castillo's true ERA (4.15) is nearly a run higher than his Statcast expected ERA (3.31), he's sub-three in both xFIP (2.92) and SIERA (2.95), and he's on pace for more than 200 IP, one of the few pitchers left in the league with a high likelihood of reaching that threshold. We project Castillo for the third-most fantasy points among pitchers the rest of the way (362, trailing only Zack Wheeler's 383 and Corbin Burnes' 381). Yep, that sounds about right.

Also, try to take a run at Castillo's rotation-mate George Kirby. His control is as pinpoint as ever, and his 3.0% walk, 69.4% first-pitch strike and 55.1% zone rates are right in line with his 3.1%, 68.8% and 56.0% career numbers. However, his luck has been outrageously poor. Kirby's 64.3% LOB rate and .337 BABIP are both bottom-11 among ERA qualifiers. Like Castillo, he's still one of the position's truly elite talents.

Kyle Schwarber, OF, Philadelphia Phillies: A historically slow starter, Schwarber has never hit more than seven homers in any April or May in his career. On the flip side, he has hit eight-plus HR in 11 out of the 28 months in which he has played in at least half of his team's games over the rest of the year. Taking a deeper dive into his April/May vs. rest-of-year splits:

Schwarber is the perfect example of the guy you pass on during the draft, but then target via trade come mid-May.

David Bednar, RP, Pittsburgh Pirates: To put his slow start into perspective, he has surrendered an earned run in six out of 12 total appearances so far in 2024. Last season, he allowed an earned run in only 10 games all year. Those kinds of struggles often cast doubt upon a reliever's ability to retain the closer role -- and in Bednar's case, what he also has working against him is the perception that the Pirates (a noncontender) are unlikely to win much and therefore offer him only sporadic save chances.

In fairness to Bednar, the lat injury that cost him much of spring training perhaps set him back on his preseason ramp-up program, not to mention that he has been done in by some extreme bad luck (29.0% LOB rate and 21.4 HR/FB%, both bottom-three among qualified relievers) despite his raw stuff grading at roughly its usual levels. His Pirates, too, aren't as bad a team as you might think, with a near-even run differential that should remain close to that level all season. That would represent a noticeable improvement upon either of Bednar's prior two years as Pirates closer -- and it should mean a competitive number of save chances.

Gleyber Torres, 2B, Yankees: After seven big league seasons and now in his age-27 campaign, Torres can fairly be termed a disappointment, at least relative to the lofty expectations that surrounded him when he debuted in 2018. That said, people have a way of being exceedingly critical of struggling players on extreme-spotlight teams (the Yankees, Los Angeles Dodgers, etc.). In Torres' case, the fact that he entered play on April 30 batting .228 with nary a home run and with just .035 ISO will surely bring out his critics in droves.

I am not one of them. The plate-discipline improvements Torres has shown over the past four seasons have solidly remained. His 21.4% chase rate ranks in the 86th percentile among batting title-eligibles and he has an absurdly low .208 BABIP against fastballs. This reeks of a guy who just hasn't yet perfected his timing, and when it comes -- which it will, soon -- he'll probably rattle off a lengthy, top-eight 2B hot streak.

Brandon Pfaadt, SP, Arizona Diamondbacks: When it comes to young pitchers with limited MLB experience, we tend to assume that any lengthy slump presents the danger of a demotion to the minors. In Pfaadt's case, however, it's more of a signal of poor fortune than skills erosion, as he has shown similarly promising signs through one month that he did over the second half (plus postseason) of 2023.

He has 4.1% walk and 76.6% first-pitch strike rates, both rating among the best in the league, his fastball/sweeper/sinker repertoire has remained plenty productive against right-handed hitters, and his changeup has taken small steps forward to provide hope of improvement in his performance against lefties over the coming weeks. What most stands out with Pfaadt is his ERA/xERA differential of more than a run and a half (4.63, 3.10). There's correction due to his numbers in the near future.

Christopher Morel, OF/3B, Chicago Cubs: Although he's off to a forgettable start -- 81 hitters have scored more than his 58 fantasy points to date -- he's still flashing well-above-average underlying metrics that continue to offer the promise of better days ahead. Per Statcast, Morel's Barrel rate is in the 69th percentile, with his hard-hit rate in the 64th and sprint speed in the 67th, which alleviates some of the worry that he has only four home runs and one stolen base thus far.

Morel remains one of the more underrated power/speed types in the game, and continues to get regular starts in the Cubs' cleanup spot. That said, fantasy managers are likely to be showcasing declining patience with him and that provides an opportunity for eager trade partners.

Brandon Nimmo, OF, New York Mets: Nimmo is one of the unluckiest players around. Among his 75 batted balls, he had six barrels (among nine total) that wound up being harmless fly outs and another six line-drive strokes of 100-plus mph that also resulted in outs. That takes some doing! It's no wonder, then, that Nimmo has a 91-point differential between his wOBA and expected wOBA, as well as a 93-point gap between his batting average and xBA. All of his underlying metrics remain outstanding, and remember that he was both a top-20 outfielder and top-75 overall player in terms of fantasy points in each of the past two seasons.
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Regional

2.3 magnitude quake rattles parts of Karachi

On April 24, a 3.2 magnitude earthquake jolted Malir district

Published by Faisal Ali Ghumman

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Karachi: A 2.3 magnitude earthquake Thursday jolted parts of Karachi including Gadap Town, Katohar and adjoining areas of Malir district.

According to the seismic monitoring centre, the epicentre of the quake was 38 kilometres from the northeast of Malir at a depth of 84km.

The tremors were felt at 5.52pm near Malir district, however, no loss of life or property was reported due to the earthquake.

This is the second time in nearly eight days that a minor earthquake hit Karachi's Malir district.

On April 24, a 3.2 magnitude earthquake struck Karachi's Malir district.

 

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